Sunday, July 13, 2014

Basic Market Reactions to the major US economic reports

Here are the basic market reactions to the major US economic reports ...
Economic Indicator
Indicator
Stock Reaction
Bond Reaction
Dollar Reaction
Consumer Price Index
UP
UP
DOWN
UNCERTAIN
                  DOWN
                   DOWN
                      UP
UNCERTAIN
Producer Price Index
UP
UP
DOWN
UNCERTAIN
                 DOWN
                      DOWN
                      UP
UNCERTAIN
Beige Book
Anecdotal description of regional economic performance used by analysts as a subjective measure of regional economic performance. Can serve as an indicator of future Fed monetary policy. Because it is subjective, its effect on the markets is determined by interpretation.

Employment Cost Index
The ECI is at comprehensive measure of employee compensation trends as they effect production costs. Reaction to the ECI depends on a variety of other economic conditions, particularly the Fed's curent economic policy as it relates to inflation, unemployment, and recession.



NAPM
UP
UP
DOWN
UP


DOWN
DOWN
UP
DOWN


Payroll Employment
UP
UP
DOWN
UP


DOWN
DOWN
UP
DOWN


Unemployment Rate
UP
DOWN
UP
DOWN


DOWN
UP
DOWN
UP


Car Sales
UP
UP
DOWN
UP


DOWN
DOWN
UP
DOWN


Retail Sales
UP
UP
DOWN
LITTLE CHANGE


DOWN
DOWN
UP
LITTLE CHANGE


Industrial Production
UP
UP
DOWN
LITTLE CHANGE


DOWN
DOWN
UP
LITTLE CHANGE


GNP
UP
UP
DOWN
UP


DOWN
DOWN
UP
DOWN


Housing Starts
UP
UP
DOWN
NO REACTION


DOWN
DOWN
UP
NO REACTION


Capacity Utilization
UP
UP
DOWN
LITTLE CHANGE


DOWN
DOWN
UP
LITTLE CHANGE


Durable Goods Orders
UP
UP
DOWN
NO REACTION


DOWN
DOWN
UP
NO REACTION


Personal Income
UP
UP
DOWN
UP


DOWN
DOWN
UP
DOWN


Income Consumption
UP
UP
DOWN
UP


DOWN
DOWN
UP
DOWN


Leading Indicators
UP
UP
DOWN
UP


DOWN
DOWN
UP
DOWN


New Home Sales
UP
NO REACTION
DOWN
NO REACTION


DOWN
NO REACTION
UP
NO REACTION


Construction Spending
UP
NO REACTION
NO REACTION
NO REACTION


DOWN
NO REACTION
NO REACTION
NO REACTION


Factory Orders
UP
NO REACTION
DOWN
NO REACTION


DOWN
NO REACTION
UP
NO REACTION


Business Inventories
UP
NO REACTION
UNCERTAIN
NO REACTION


DOWN
NO REACTION
UNCERTAIN
NO REACTION


Trade Balance
(improved deficit)
UP
UP
UNCERTAIN
UP


DOWN
DOWN
UNCERTAIN
DOWN


Export Prices
UP
UP
DOWN
UP


DOWN
DOWN
UP
DOWN


Import Prices
UP
UP
DOWN
DOWN


DOWN
DOWN
UP
UP



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